Renewable Fuels Association - Statistics - 2008

Prof. Robert B. Laughlin
Department of Physics
Stanford University, Stanford, CA 94305

http://www.ethanolrfa.org/industry/statistics
(Copied 4 Jan 09)

Historic U.S. Fuel Ethanol Production

Year Millions of Gallons
1980 175
1981 215
1982 350
1983 375
1984 430
1985 610
1986 710
1987 830
1988 845
1989 870
1990 900
1991 950
1992 1,100
1993 1,200
1994 1,350
1995 1,400
1996 1,100
1997 1,300
1998 1,400
1999 1,470
2000 1,630
2001 1,770
2002 2,130
2003 2,800
2004 3,400
2005 3,904
2006 4,855
2007 6,500

Ethanol Industry Overview

Year January 1999 January 2000 January 2001 January 2002 January 2003 January 2004 January 2005 January 2006 January 2007
Total Ethanol Plants 50 54 56 61 68 72 81 95 110
Ethanol Production Capacity 1701.7
mgy		 1748.7
mgy		 1921.9 mgy 2347.3 mgy 2706.8 mgy 3100.8 mgy 3643.7 mgy 4336.4 mgy 5493.4
mgy
Plants Under Construction/ Expanding 5 6 5 13 11 15 16 31 76
Capacity Under Construction/Expanding 77
mgy		 91.5
mgy		 64.7
mgy		 390.7
mgy		 483
mgy		 598
mgy		 754
mgy		 1778
mgy 		5635.5
mgy
Farmer Owned Plants 14 18 21 25 28 33 40 46 46
Farmer Owned Capacity 293.3
mgy		 340.3
mgy		 473
mgy		 645.6
mgy		 796.6
mgy		 1041.1
mgy		 1388.6
mgy		 1677.1
mgy		 1677.1
mgy
% of Total Cap Farmer 17% 19% 25% 28% 29% 34% 38% 39% 39%
Farmer Owned UC Plants/Expanding 5 3 3 10 8 12 10 4 4
Farmer Owned UC Capacity 77
mgy		 60
mgy		 60
mgy		 335
mgy		 318
mgy		 447
mgy		 450
mgy		 187
mgy 		187
mgy
% of Total UC Capacity 100% 66% 71% 86% 66% 75% 60% 11% 11%
States with Ethanol Plants 17 17 18 19 20 19 18 20 21

2008 Monthly U.S. Fuel Ethanol Production/Demand

Month Production, b/d (1000s) Production (1000 barrels) Stocks (1000 barrels) Stocks: days in reserve Production (1000 gal) Imports (1000 gal)* Exports (1000 gal)^ Stocks change (1000 gal) Demand (1000 gal) Demand, b/d (1000s)
Jan 510 15818 10674 20.5 664356 20677 0 6930 678103 521
Feb 518 15025 10465 18.6 631050 21371 0 -8778 661199 562
Mar 561 17387 11391 20.1 730254 21498 0 38892 712860 566
Apr 562 16868 11539 19.3 708456 49378 0 6216 751,618 597
May 598 18543 12044 19.6 778806 44169 0 21210 801,765 616
Jun 585 17544 12304 19.4 736848 71828 0 10920 797756 633
Jul 614 19042 13186 20.8 799764 64334 0 37044 827054 635
Aug 647 20059 14882 22.5 842478 89788 0 71232 861034 661
Sep 640 19197 15994 23.2 806274 107535 0 46704 867105 688
Oct
Nov
Dec
Ave. 581.7 17720.3 12497.7 744254 54508.7 773166 608.8

2007 Monthly U.S. Fuel Ethanol Production/Demand

Month Production, b/d (1000s) Production (1000 barrels) Stocks (1000 barrels) Stocks: days in reserve Production (1000 gal) Imports (1000 gal)* Exports (1000 gal)^ Stocks change (1000 gal) Demand (1000 gal) Demand, b/d (1000s)
Jan 375 11621 8593 20.8 488082 44433 0 -6468 538983 414
Feb 386 10795 8749 21.0 453390 42824 0 6552 489662 416
Mar 384 11892 8529 20.6 499464 30398 0 -9240 539102 414
Apr 391 11716 8791 21.5 492072 35304 0 11004 516372 410
May 406 12573 8950 21.0 528066 34532 0 6678 555920 427
Jun 418 12553 9067 20.5 527226 36005 0 4914 558317 443
Jul 421 13051 9696 21.7 548142 59028 0 26418 580752 446
Aug 434 13458 10309 22.2 565236 66416 0 25746 605906 465
Sep 441 13222 11509 27.3 555324 26593 0 50400 531517 422
Oct 452 14018 11423 23.6 588756 37343 0 -3612 629711 484
Nov 479 14356 11194 22.5 602592 13374 0 -9618 625944 497
Dec 489 15161 10509 20.3 636762 8929 0 -28770 674461 518
             
Totals   154416 6485472 435179 6846647  
Ave. 423 12868 540456 36265 570554 446

2006 Monthly U.S. Fuel Ethanol Production/Demand

Month Production, b/d (1000s) Production (1000 barrels) Stocks (1000 barrels) Stocks: days in reserve Production (1000 gal) Imports (1000 gal)* Exports (1000 gal)^ Stocks change (1000 gal) Demand (1000 gal) Demand, b/d (1000s)
Jan 288 8942 6173 21.4 375564 2687 0 25620 352631 271
Feb 302 8452 7376 24.4 354984 25578 0 50526 330036 281
Mar 301 9338 8708 28.9 392196 28586 0 55944 364838 280
Apr 289 8656 9087 31.4 363552 32620 0 15918 380254 302
May 293 9093 7848 26.8 381906 20291 0 -52038 454235 349
Jun 318 9532 6731 21.2 400344 50812 0 -46914 498070 395
Jul 316 9804 7727 24.5 411768 98180 0 41832 468116 360
Aug 329 10185 9160 27.8 427770 133188 0 60186 500772 385
Sep 333 9992 9727 29.2 419664 82466 0 23815 478315 380
Oct 333 10308 9814 29.5 432936 79202 0 3654 580484 391
Nov 343 10279 9212 26.9 431718 64517 0 -25284 521519 414
Dec 356 11023 8747 24.6 462966 37561 0 -19530 520147 399
             
Totals 3801 115604 4855368 653304 5377417 4205
Ave. 317 9634 404614 54648 448118 350

b/d = barrels/day
*Source:  International Trade Commission
^Jim Jordan and Associates

U.S. Fuel Ethanol Demand
(Millions of Gallons)

  2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007
U.S. Production 2,130 2,800 3,400 3,904 4,855 6,500
Imports 46 61 161 135.0 653.3 450
Exports n/a n/a n/a 7.99 n/a n/a
Stocks Change -91 39 -31 -17.98 108.1  
Demand 2,085 2,900 3,530 4,048.9 5,377.4  
Source: RFA, International Trade Commission, Jim Jordan & Associates

2007 World Fuel Ethanol Production

Country Millions of Gallons
USA 6498.6
Brazil 5019.2
European Union 570.3
China 486.0
Canada 211.3
Thailand 79.2
Colombia 74.9
India 52.8
Central America 39.6
Australia 26.4
Turkey 15.8
Pakistan 9.2
Peru 7.9
Argentina 5.2
Paraguay 4.7
Total 13,101.7
Source: F.O. Licht

Annual World Ethanol Production by Country
(Millions of Gallons, All Ethanol Grades)

Country 2004 2005 2006
Brazil 3,989 4,227 4,491
U.S. 3,535 4.264 4,855
China 964 1,004 1,017
India 462 449 502
France 219 240 251
Russia 198 198 171
South Africa 110 103 102
U.K. 106 92 74
Saudi Arabia 79 32 52
Spain 79 93 122
Thailand 74 79 93
Germany 71 114 202
Ukraine 66 65 71
Canada 61 61 153
Poland 53 58 66
Indonesia 44 45 45
Argentina 42 44 45
Italy 40 40 43
Australia 33 33 39
Japan 31 30 30
Pakistan 26 24 24
Sweden 26 29 30
Philippines 22 22 22
South Korea 22 17 16
Guatemala 17 17 21
Cuba 16 12 12
Ecuador 12 14 12
Mexico 9 12 13
Nicaragua 8 7 8
Mauritius 6 3 2
Zimbabwe 6 5 7
Kenya 3 4 5
Swaziland 3 3 5
Others 338 710 270
Total 10,770 12,150  13,489
Source: F.O. Licht

U.S. Fuel Ethanol Imports by Country
(Millions of Gallons)

Country 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007
Brazil 0 0 90.3 31.2 433.7 188.8
Costa Rica 12 14.7 25.4 33.4 35.9 39.3
El Salvador 4.5 6.9 5.7 23.7 38.5 73.3
Jamaica 29 39.3 36.6 36.3 66.8 75.2
Trinadad & Tobago 0 0 0 10.0 24.8 42.7
Canada           5.4
China           4.5
Total 45.5 60.9 159.9 135.0 653.3 426.2
Source: International Trade Commission