ARCHIVES: An Autopsy of the Soviet Economy
By Gordon M. Hahn
Soviet documents now in the Hoover Archives reveal seventy years of economic bungling. By Gordon M. Hahn.
From the start, Soviet economic managers were oblivious to the
economic farce they were directing. During the first Five-Year Plan
(1928–1932), V. V. Kuibyshev, head of the USSR GosPlan (State Planning
Commission), sent the Associated Press a report stating that the plan’s
results put to rest the claims “uttered by the most prominent bourgeois
economists and politicians . . . that the projections of the five-year
plan are ‘unreal,’ ‘utopian,’ ‘fantastic’. . . just another Bolshevik
‘bluff.’” In fact, the Soviet socialist system’s claims were just as
the “bourgeois economists” had predicted. As the Soviet communist
regime veered toward collapse, some of its leaders belatedly became
aware that the market, as General Secretary Mikhail Gorbachev himself
put it in 1990, is “one of the great achievements of humankind.”
Recently declassified documents in the Hoover Archives reveal not only
the surreal essence of the Soviet economic order but also that the
Soviet leadership had increasingly little room to maneuver in its
desperate effort to compete economically with capitalist economies.
THE FIRST FAILURES
The first Five-Year Plan, like its successors, failed, largely as
the result of the bureaucrats’ attempting to micromanage every facet of
the economy from their offices in Moscow. Even the modest successes—won
at a high human cost—were in large part the product of exaggeration and
fantasy, as archival microfilms now at the Hoover Institution show. The
February 1, 1933, Politburo session, after reviewing the top-secret
report on the plan’s disappointing results, banned “any agencies,
republics, or regions from publishing any other reports, either
consolidated, industrial, or regional” until the official report was
issued. All the subsequent reports related to the plan’s results were
published only with permission from Kuibyshev’s GosPlan, with “all
agencies forward[ing] all materials and reports on the results . . . in
their possession to GosPlan.” The leadership thus ensured that the
false results could not be checked with other data. The tendency to
fabricate economic figures at the top was soon a common feature of the
entire system, leading to the failure of the next carefully elaborated
five-year plan and so on.
FABLES, FOIBLES, AND FAILURES
Under Khrushchev the Soviet regime became “kinder and gentler.” The
relaxation of repression, however, required a “social contract” that
amounted to Khrushchev’s promising, in 1961, that Soviet industrial and
agricultural production and per capita income would overtake that of
the United States by 1980. Khrushchev increased production by
increasing labor, capital, and natural resource inputs, not by
increasing efficiency.
Khrushchev’s efforts to eliminate layers of bureaucracy failed
miserably. At a factory project in the Russian province of Penza in the
late 1950s, local authorities, far behind in the construction schedule,
falsely reported to Moscow that the factory had been completed and was
in production. For more than a year Moscow received bogus reports on
output, fulfillment of the state plan’s quota, and other indicators. In
truth, construction of the factory was not even close to completion.
Gross inefficiencies in the agricultural sector forced
Khrushchev to raise bread prices in 1962, provoking civil unrest in the
southern city of Novocherkassk. The party ordered the army to put down
the demonstrations by force, but the troops’ commander committed
suicide rather than fire on the crowd.
BROKEN PROMISES AND MONUMENTAL FAILURES
The gap between Khrushchev’s utopian words and the Soviet economic
system’s mundane deeds threw into sharp relief the monumental scale of
socialism’s failures. On the eve of the 1980s, instead of being able to
proudly report surpassing the American economy, the Soviet leadership
sat behind closed doors and read a top-secret report on the economy’s
failings. In December 1979, the Soviet government delivered a 126-page
economic report to the party leadership detailing the economic,
demographic, and social problems that needed to be resolved to avoid
economic contraction. The report highlighted the enormous gap between
Soviet economic performance and that of the United States and Japan and
suggested that the Soviet economy would continue to stagnate until
reforms were implemented. The regime then attempted to introduce
piecemeal changes that tended to ape market economies without providing
the structural bases that makes them work.
For example, to address a growing labor shortage that left
approximately 5 million jobs unfilled in a country with a population of
only 270 million, the report endorsed using such innovations as
part-time work, pay by the hour, reducing the number of women
performing heavy manual labor, and using seasonal employment because
these methods worked in the U.S. economy. The labor shortage was caused
by the bulk of the industrial plants being located in the European
republics where birthrates were low. Although the leadership had known
of this demographic imbalance for most of the decade, it had failed to
reduce factory construction in those republics. In contrast, in the six
Muslim republics and Moldova there was a population explosion but no
plant construction.
The low-tech nature of Soviet industrial and agricultural
production was the result of the constraints placed on research and
development in a system so obsessed with secrecy and so thoroughly
bureaucratized that it was incapable of competing with developed
capitalist economies. The rigid education system and bureaucratized
method of assigning personnel to jobs led to a shortage of engineers.
The report notes that the difference between the number of workers with
higher and middle-level specialized educations deemed necessary under
the plan “for all ministries and departments” and the number of
applications amounted to a shortfall of 72,000 engineers. Some 137,000
engineers already in place lacked a higher and middle-level specialized
education. To address the low technological level of production, the
government proposed investing in the antiquated and resource-insatiable
machine-building sector and providing retraining programs for the labor
force, thus creating yet another huge bureaucracy under an “all-state
system.” The state socialist system continued to produce its best
manufacture—bureaucracies. BUREAUCRATIC BOTTLENECKS
The command economy’s micromanagement created enormous bureaucratic
bottlenecks, in both decision making and implementing policy, which
brought forth a small coterie of reformers from among the least cynical
party apparatchiki. In 1979, the Politburo (some months after Mikhail
Gorbachev was appointed to it from his post as territory party
committee first secretary in Stavropol) examined a huge backlog of
unimplemented party decisions that were clogging the management
apparatus. As of August 1979, the Politburo had 369 backlogged
decisions to see through the apparat to realization, including
sixty-eight resolutions from the year before, thirty from 1977,
seventeen from 1976, four from 1975, two from 1974, five from 1973, one
from 1972, and two from 1969! The Party Secretariat had 162 resolutions
left unfulfilled, including fourteen that had been two years or more in
the works, some from 1970. Some seventy-five documents were unresolved
in the Council of Ministers, which administered the economy on behalf
of the party, and “a considerable number” were held up in the infamous
GosPlan.
One of those documents, a March 1979 proposal from Gorbachev’s
native Stavropol calling for decentralizing local water and irrigation
management responsibilities to the level of the Russian republic was
held up, the Politburo resolution complained, for five months because a
plethora of bodies—the Politburo, the Secretariat, the USSR, and the
Russian governments—had to review it. Since the issue was agricultural
and the proposal originated from his party committee in Stavropol, it
is certain that Gorbachev, as party agricultural secretary, was
involved. Gorbachev, while still in Stavropol, was frustrated with the
Moscow bureaucratic morass and had been known to storm down the halls
of the Central Committee (CC) apparatus headquarters in Moscow cursing
the lethargy of government bureaucrats. Indeed, most of the documents
held up in the government’s apparat were from his CC Agricultural
Department, three-quarters of them signed by him personally.
Gorbachev’s reformist instincts could only have been sharpened,
witnessing the bureaucracy’s foibles firsthand for five more long
years. The Soviet command system and its failures thus unwittingly
sparked the reforms that put an end to this regime.
© 1998 by the Board of Trustees of the Leland Stanford Junior University.
This article is based on documents acquired through the Hoover
Institution’s joint microfilming project with the Russian State
Archives. The documents cited are in fond 89, the Collection of
Recently Declassified Documents at the Center for the Preservation of
Contemporary Documentation of the Russian Archives. Microfilmed copies
of those documents are housed at the Hoover Institution Archives; in
addition, a detailed guide to fond 89 is available at the Hoover
Institution Archives.
Available from the Hoover Press is Dear Comrades: Menshevik Reports on the Bolshevik Revolution and the Civil War, Vladimir N. Brovkin, editor and translator. To order, call 800-935-2882.
Gordon M. Hahn is coordinator of Russian Archives Research Projects at the Hoover Institution.
|